Nvidia's Drop Below $200 Ripples Through Index Funds Ahead of Nov. 17 Earnings

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Nvidia slipped below $200 for the first time since August, touching $199.68 on November 4 before falling 5.23% to $189.67 early on November 5. As the top holding in many index funds, the drop cost the semiconductor ETF SMH about 0.92 points and the S&P 500 and Nasdaq-100 funds about 0.40 points. Nvidia reports fiscal third-quarter results on November 17 against its own $108.0 billion revenue guidance.

NVDA traded below $200 on November 4 for the first time since August, hitting a session low of $199.68 before closing at $200.13. The selling deepened on November 5, when the stock fell 5.23% to $189.67 in early trading during a broad sell-off in chip and AI stocks.

Because Nvidia is the largest single holding in many index funds, its slide travels well beyond its own shareholders. In the VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH), where Nvidia carries a 17.5% weight, the stock accounted for about 0.92 points of the fund's 7.04% drop, while S&P 500 and Nasdaq-100 funds lost about 0.40 points from Nvidia alone, according to 24/7 Wall St.. The stock sits about 16.3% below its $239.24 record close.

The next catalyst is close. Nvidia reports fiscal third-quarter 2027 results on Tuesday, November 17, after the close, against its own guidance for $108.0 billion in revenue, plus or minus 2%, which assumes no data center compute revenue from China. The Motley Fool notes the stock trades at about 25 times trailing earnings and 13 times forward earnings after the pullback, while Barron's has examined where history suggests a floor might form.

What to watch: whether Nvidia's results and next-quarter guide clear the $108.0 billion bar, how hyperscaler capital spending commentary shifts during the sell-off, and how much index-fund performance continues to hinge on a single stock.

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