Michael Burry says Palantir's books look like a consultant's, and he is short the stock
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Michael Burry argues Palantir's financial profile resembles a consulting firm rather than a software company, pointing to accounts receivable growing faster than revenue, concentrated customer payments and deferred-revenue ratios closer to Accenture's. He holds put options against the stock and suggests it could fall from roughly $420 billion to under $100 billion, even though Palantir reported 93% year-over-year revenue growth. Shares closed down 4.5% at $174.33, while SentiSense social sentiment on the name stayed positive.
Michael Burry, the investor known for The Big Short, has made a specific accounting argument against PLTR. He contends the company's financial profile looks more like a consulting firm than a software vendor, citing accounts receivable growing faster than revenue, a high concentration of customer payments, and deferred-revenue ratios closer to Accenture's than to a subscription software peer's .
The disclosure that gives the argument weight is that Burry is positioned behind it. He holds put options against the stock and suggests the valuation could fall from roughly $420 billion to below $100 billion, a claim he makes while acknowledging that Palantir reported 93% year-over-year revenue growth . Readers should weigh both halves of that: a short seller publishing a thesis has an interest in it being believed, and the growth figure he concedes is the strongest counterargument to his own case.
The metrics he names are checkable rather than rhetorical, which is what separates this from a generic valuation complaint. Receivables outgrowing revenue can indicate revenue recognised ahead of collection; concentrated customer payments raise the cost of losing any single account; and deferred-revenue ratios speak to how much of the business is genuinely pre-committed subscription rather than delivered services. Those are the three lines to read in the next quarterly filing.
A separate thread this week bears on the same question from the operational side. Vinoo Ganesh, who ran Palantir's rotational forward-deployed engineering program in the 2010s and now runs Kepler, said many companies now copying the model misread forward-deployed engineers as sales engineers, missing the technical depth of the role . Palantir's own use of on-site engineers is exactly the practice that makes its revenue look services-heavy to an outside analyst, so the two stories are two readings of one fact. The market is not obviously siding with Burry yet: SentiSense data has PLTR rated A in the 96th percentile as of September 5 with news and social sentiment at +0.24, even as the shares fell 4.5% to $174.33 on the day. Watch receivables days and deferred revenue in the next quarterly filing for evidence either way.
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