SpaceX Starship Flight 14 reaches orbit and deploys 26 Starlink V3 satellites; SPCX edges higher as analysts flag engine fault
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SpaceX's Starship reached orbit on its first orbital attempt on September 28, 2026 and deployed 26 Starlink V3 satellites, though an engine shut down early and cut the flight short. SPCX traded about 1% to 2% higher on Tuesday while other space stocks such as Rocket Lab and AST SpaceMobile fell about 3%. Morgan Stanley reiterated Overweight with a $300 target, UBS reiterated Buy at $210 and TD Cowen initiated at Buy with a $200 target, while flagging recurring propulsion issues.
SpaceX's Starship reached orbit on Flight 14 on September 28, 2026, the vehicle's first orbital attempt, and released 26 next-generation Starlink V3 satellites. Elon Musk posted "First orbital flight of Starship successful!" and later that "All 26 Starlink V3 operational satellites deployed and operating nominally". It was the first Starship mission to carry an operational payload rather than a test load. The flight did not go entirely to plan: an engine shut down earlier than planned and cut the mission short, though the company said orbital and deployment goals were met. Accounts of the ending differ, with 24/7 Wall St. describing a controlled splashdown and Mashable reporting that the ship exploded in the Pacific.
SPCX reacted in a measured way. Shares rose about 1% before Tuesday's open and were up 2% at $149.02 in the afternoon, while RKLB fell 3% to $70.21 and ASTS fell 3% to $58.95, a split that suggests investors credited the milestone to SpaceX alone. The stock remains below its $150 opening-day price from the June IPO.
Wall Street leaned in. Morgan Stanley called the flight a major achievement and kept its Overweight rating and $300 target, but flagged recurring problems with the new vehicle's propulsion system and said the next flight, and a possible ship catch, matters most. UBS reiterated Buy with a $210 target and said third-quarter results could beat expectations on AI, Starlink connectivity and launch volume. TD Cowen initiated at Buy with a $200 target, and Bank of America reiterated Buy with a $235 target. SentiSense consensus data shows an average target of $223.80 across 20 analysts, with 29 Buy, 5 Hold and 2 Sell ratings.
The commercial link runs through Starlink. Musk has said the V3 satellite is about an order of magnitude more capable than V2, and Connectivity revenue reached $4.29 billion in the second quarter, up 66% year over year. Management has said a meaningful service upgrade needs about 1,000 V3 satellites, a threshold it expects around the second quarter of next year. Still unproven are the ship catch, rapid reflight and repeatability, while quarterly capex of $18.37 billion, $15.83 billion of it on AI compute, keeps costs heavy. The next Starship flight and the third-quarter report are the markers to watch.
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